Workspace / Markets / Will the Fed cut rates by 25bps at the July 2026 meeting?

Economics Resolves 7/30/2026 · 42 days remaining

Will the Fed cut rates by 25bps at the July 2026 meeting?

$5K combined volume (24h)·0¢ cross-platform spread

§ Price history

Price history begins as data accumulates. Check back tomorrow.

Cross-platform price comparison

Kalshi

Best

5¢

— 0¢ 24h

$5K volume 24h

View market →

Polymarket

No current quote

Robinhood 5¢Rothera · Coming soon

§ ABOUT THESE PLATFORMS

Robinhood routes prediction-market trades through Kalshi's CFTC-regulated exchange — same contracts, same prices, different app. Rothera (Robinhood + Susquehanna joint venture) is expected to launch in 2026 with its own designated contract market.

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Resolution criteria

Per official FOMC announcement on the day of the meeting.

Resolution date

7/30/2026

Source of truth

Official market publisher resolution

Edge cases

Per official FOMC announcement on the day of the meeting.

Market stats

Combined volume 24h

$5K

Combined volume total

$73K

Best ask · YES

5¢ · Kalshi

Best bid · YES

5¢ · Kalshi

Cross-platform spread

0¢

30-day high

—

30-day low

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Implied probability

§ ALERTS