Workspace / Markets / Will the Fed cut rates by 25bps at the June 2026 meeting?

Economics Resolves 6/18/2026 · resolving soon

Will the Fed cut rates by 25bps at the June 2026 meeting?

$255K combined volume (24h)·1¢ cross-platform spread

§ Price history

Price history begins as data accumulates. Check back tomorrow.

Cross-platform price comparison

Kalshi

2¢

— 0¢ 24h

$73K volume 24h

View market →

Polymarket

Best

1¢

— 0¢ 24h

$182K volume 24h

View market →

Robinhood 2¢Rothera · Coming soon

§ ABOUT THESE PLATFORMS

Robinhood routes prediction-market trades through Kalshi's CFTC-regulated exchange — same contracts, same prices, different app. Rothera (Robinhood + Susquehanna joint venture) is expected to launch in 2026 with its own designated contract market.

Learn more →

Resolution criteria

Per official FOMC announcement on the day of the meeting.

Resolution date

6/18/2026

Source of truth

Official market publisher resolution

Edge cases

Per official FOMC announcement on the day of the meeting.

Market stats

Combined volume 24h

$255K

Combined volume total

$8.7M

Best ask · YES

1¢ · Polymarket

Best bid · YES

2¢ · Kalshi

Cross-platform spread

1¢

30-day high

—

30-day low

—

Implied probability

§ ALERTS